Adverse weather scenarios for future electricity systems: short duration events
The latest findings from the collaborative project with the Met Office and the Climate Change Committee.
Tagged: Energy & Net Zero
The Commission and the Climate Change Committee have been working closely with the Met Office to develop datasets to test the resilience of electricity systems to extreme adverse weather. This project explores what is known, and what wasn’t, about weather and climate related sensitivities and the risks associated with a highly renewable electricity system.
The Commission has continued to work with the Met Office to develop new datasets to represent shorter duration ramping events. The Met Office is taking a similar approach to previous work by first characterising events and then producing datasets. This new report summarises the approach to characterising events and includes a sensitivity analysis conducted to test the validity of the results obtained.
The final output from this project will be made available on this website by the end of February 2022.
Related research - adverse weather and future electricity systems
Earlier research undertaken by the Met Office as part of this joint project includes:
- a report on adverse weather scenarios for future electricity systems: developing the dataset of long-duration events, from June 2021
- a report on characterising adverse weather conditions, from October 2020
- a report from the discovery phase of the project, from June 2020
- an initial literature review on weather and climate-related risks to energy systems, from the first stage of the project.
In February 2021 the Commission published a report on the Operability of highly renewable energy systems. This demonstrated that the current evidence provides confidence that a highly renewable electricity system, such as one with over 70 per cent generation from renewables, can maintain secure and reliable electricity without adding significantly to the costs of generating electricity.
Status: Completed
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